Rasmussen: Obama 48%, Romney 43% (N.H.)

A Rasmussen Reports survey of likely voters in the Granite State gives President Obama a five point lead over Mitt Romney in the battle for the state’s four electoral college votes. Obama leads Romney 48% to 43% with 6% undecided.

The Rasmussen poll indicates a tighter race than previous surveys that had Obama leading 51%-42% (WMUR Granite State Poll) and 53%-41% (Public Policy Polling).

It’s worth noting that Nate Silver calculated a 5.5 point Republican-leaning Rasmussen house effect in 2010 head-to-head Senate races. (House effect is defined as systematic differences in the the way that surveys tend to lean toward Republican or Democratic candidates.)

The survey of 500 likely voters was conducted on June 20, 2012 and has a margin of error of +/- 4.5 points.