N.H. congressional races are two of 15 closest in U.S.

Earlier this year, Larry Sabato described both New Hampshire congressional races as toss-ups. That hasn’t changed. Sabato’s Crystal Ball editor Kyle Kondik reports that only 15 of the 435 congressional races are true toss-ups — and two of them are in the Granite State.

All the top races in New Hampshire, that most politically active of states, are toss-ups this year: president, governor and both House seats. Guinta and Bass, elected in 2010, will likely face rematches: Ex-Rep. Carol Shea-Porter is challenging Guinta, and Ann McLane Kuster will take another shot at Bass. Going into the election season, Guinta seemed like he was in a stronger position (he won by about 11.5 percentage points in 2010, while Bass only won by 1.5 points), but public polling has seemed to indicate he is in slightly worse shape than Bass, and both rematches are tight.