Unskewed Polls founder claims ‘massive voter fraud’ in NH, cites Frank Guinta as his source

The creator of Unskewed Polls cites former Congressman Frank Guinta as his source for a claim that Pres. Obama’s 2012 margin of victory in New Hampshire was the result of “massive voter fraud.”

Republicans around the state are pointing to the article by Dean Chambers in which he asserts “massive voter fraud won New Hampshire for the Democrats in 2012.”

Chambers, you may remember, is the discredited founder of Unskewed Polls, which “erased” alleged polling bias in the 2012 presidential campaign by adjusting the results to favor Republican Mitt Romney.

After the election, Chambers initially conceded that his prediction Romney would win the race “just turned out to be wrong,” but he then launched BarackOFraudo.com and claimed Romney’s win was “reversed with vote fraud” in Ohio, Pennsylvania, Virginia and Florida.

He’s now added New Hampshire to the list. Writing in Examiner.com, Chambers suggests Obama received 70,000 illegal votes in a “massive influx” of same day registrants. “If Obama received at least 70,000 illegitimate votes,” he writes, “it is clear his margin of victory in New Hampshire was gained from voter fraud.”

Chambers’ source: Frank Guinta

Frank Guinta, the former Congressman attempting a comeback in the 1st District, is the source for Chambers’ claim that 70,000 fraudulent votes were cast in the Granite State.

Earlier this month, while being interviewed on The Howie Carr Show, Guinta said he believes “100%” that the “vast majority” of nearly 100,000 voters who registered on election day were fraudulent.

"You know, we had 100,000 same day registrants, which is legal in the state of New Hampshire,” Guinta told Carr. “But when you start to dive down and look at some of the individuals who voted on election day, you can’t find them. And it’s a pretty good percentage of that 100,000 vote total.”

"I’ll call it voter fraud," Guinta added. "Look Howie, there are some people who legitimately register to vote who have moved or moved into the state and those individuals are replying to the Secretary of State verifying who they are, but the vast majority of those 100,000 people, I’ll call it voter fraud because I 100% believe that it was voter fraud."

Same-day registration data

Let’s look at the actual numbers. Patch reported approximately 2,600 same-day registrants in 2012 lacked the approved photo identification and signed a qualified voter affidavit as required.

After the election, the Secretary of State’s office sent each voter who signed a qualified voter affidavit a mailer containing a postcard for them to confirm their information. About half of the cards were returned, leaving 1300 unconfirmed voters. Another 210 mailers were returned by the post office as undeliverable.

Of the 99,299 same-day registrants, approximately 96,700 verified their identity with approved photo identification. Deputy Secretary of State David Scanlan told Patch there weren’t any anomalies or unusual patterns in any of the data.image

Comedy Central: ‘Sununu’s absolutely right’

This week, former New Hampshire governor John H. Sununu parroted Mitt Romney’s earlier comments disparaging 47% of the American public and declaring the president won re-election because of “gifts” he gave to his Democratic base:

They aggressively got out the base of their base, the base of their base that’s dependent, to a great extent economically, on government policy and government programs.”

Comedy Central agreed:

So everybody is SUPER INDIGNANT. But you know what? Sununu’s absolutely right.

There is no way Obama could have won if he hadn’t turned out the part of his base that depends on government policy and government programs.

Like roads you drive on to get to the polling place. And schools where you vote.

'God fearing Americans voted against the Creator'

A vote for President Obama was a vote against God, writes Karen Testerman, the founder and former executive director of Cornerstone Policy Research.

The 2010 Republican gubernatorial candidate takes note of Hurricane Sandy, earthquakes in the Northeast and spontaneous fires and asks, “Are not the natural and political disasters in reality God’s warning signs to America and to the world that the consequences of our actions are disastrous?”

In the email to supporters, Testerman blames “silence from the church on political issues” for the fact that 23 million “God fearing Americans” (which apparently only includes evangelical Christians and Catholics) voted for Obama over Mitt Romney.

The most remarkable results of the past election is self-professed God fearing Americans (6 million self-identified evangelical Christians and 15 million Catholics) voted against the Creator and against the culture of life in America.

23 million Catholics and Evangelicals chose to abandon their core values, the Declaration of Independence and our Constitution to vote for dependence on the public treasury.

Is there any doubt why the lambs in the pews are silent? Could silence from the pulpit be the reason that 23 million voted against biblical values? Ask yourself. Did your pastor inform you of which political issues and candidates reflected biblical principles?

The tea party plan to overturn the election results

Jack Kimball’s Granite State Patriots Liberty PAC publicizes the call by Tea Party Nation founder Judson Phillips to steal the election from President Obama:

According to the 12th Amendment, for the Electoral College to be able to select the president, it must have a quorum of two-thirds of the states voting. If enough states refuse to participate, the Electoral College will not have a quorum. If the Electoral College does not have a quorum … responsibility for selecting the president and vice president devolves to the Congress.

Mitt Romney carried 24 states. We need to have conservative activists from all over the nation contact the electors, the Republican Party and the secretary of state in all of these states and tell them not to participate in the Electoral College when it meets on Dec. 17.

If we can get 17 of those states (just over one-third) to refuse to participate, the Electoral College will have no quorum. Then, as the Constitution directs, the election goes to the House of Representatives.

"That is how we can still pull this election out and make Mitt Romney president in January, Phillips declares. "This is our last chance." Phillips calls on tea party, liberty and patriotic groups to spread the word. Kimball, the former state GOP chair, is apparently happy to oblige.

Healthcare voters provided margin for Obama’s NH win

75% of New Hampshire voters in this year’s presidential election named the economy or the federal budget deficit as the most important issue facing the country. Exit polls indicate Mitt Romney won the majority of those voters by a wide 54% to 46% margin.

So how did President Obama win the state by almost six points? Health care! 18% of voters in the Granite State named health care as the most important problem facing the country. Obama won the votes from that group by a whopping 84% to 16% margin, providing the votes to overcome Romney’s advantage on the economy and the deficit.

Which ONE of these four issues is the most important facing the country? (CHECK ONLY ONE) TotalObamaRomney
Foreign policy5%--
Federal budget deficit16%37%60%
The economy59%48%51%
Health care18%84%16%
Sample: 1917 respondents

2012 exit poll data: NH solidly pro-choice

72% of Granite State voters in this year’s presidential election said abortion should be legal in most or all cases. President Obama was the overwhelming choice of those voters, beating Mitt Romney by a 64% to 34% margin among those supporting legal abortions.

25% of New Hampshire voters said abortions should be illegal in most or all cases. Romney won 84% of the votes from that group compared to just 15% who supported Obama.

New Hampshire had the highest level of support for legal abortions among the 14 states surveyed on the question in national exit polling. New York and New Jersey were next with 71% support. Voters in Missouri and North Carolina expressed the least support for legal abortions with slight majorities, 53%, saying abortion should be legal in most or all cases.

Which comes closest to your position? Abortion should be: TotalObamaRomney 
Legal in all cases40%76%22% 
Legal in most cases32%50%49% 
Illegal in most cases18%17%82% 
Illegal in all cases7%-- 

Sample: 1007 respondents

Nate Silver projects Obama to win NH by 3.7%

In his final update, Nate Silver projects President Obama to carry the Granite State with a 3.7% margin, slightly outside his model’s margin of error, which he translates to an 86% probability that the President will win New Hampshire.

Nationally, Silver gives Obama a 91.6% probability of winning the election, winning the popular vote by a 50.9% to 48.3% margin.

Marc Ambinder on Nate Silver:

When I refer to @fivethirtyeight as the liberal cognoscenti’s messiah, I’m making an observation I think Nate (who I love) would agree with. Your faith ought not be in Nate — it ought to be in the numbers. That’s Nate’s point. (I think). And his value is in explaining WHY.

NEC: Obama up by 4, Hassan by 2

President Obama leads Mitt Romney 50% to 46% in the final New England College poll of New Hampshire likely voters. Obama had a five point lead in last week’s NEC survey.

“For the third poll in a row President Obama is showing strength in New Hampshire,” said Ben Tafoya, NEC Poll director.  “He must be considered the favorite, by a small margin, to carry the state on Tuesday.”

Democrat Maggie Hassan has a two point lead over Republican Ovide Lamontagne, 47% to 45%. 7% are still undecided. Men prefer Lamontagne by a 49% to 42% margin. Hassan leads among women 53% to 41%.

The results are based on automated calls using landlines and cellphones to 687 likely voters for president with a +/- 3.7% margin of error and 666 likely voters for governor with a +/- 4.1% margin of error. The survey was conducted on November 3-4, 2012.

ARG: Obama 49%, Romney 49%

A new poll from American Research Group indicated President Obama and Mitt Romney are tied at 49% each in the contest for New Hampshire’s four electoral votes. The last ARG survey had Romney with a four point lead over Obama.

American Research Group surveyed 600 likely Granite State voters on November 2-4, 2012. The poll has a +/-4.0% margin of error.

PPP: Obama leads 50%-48%, Hassan up 51%-47%

President Obama leads Mitt Romney 50% to 48% in the final New Hampshire poll of the 2012 election cycle from Public Policy Polling. Obama’s small lead is consistent with results from previous surveys, which have produced an average Obama lead of one point in three polls since the first presidential debate.

For the second week in a row, Hassan has a four point lead over Republican Ovide Lamontagne, 51% to 47%. “Democrat Maggie Hassan is looking like the favorite to be the next Governor of New Hampshire, writes PPP president Dean Debnam. 

PPP surveyed 1,550 likely voters with a +/-2.5 margin of error. The automated telephone interviews were conducted November 3-4, 2012.

Gravis (NH): Obama 50%, Romney 49% *

A new survey from Gravis Marketing has President Obama and Mitt Romney in a virtual tie in the Granite State, with Obama leading 50% to 49%.

* This result appears to indicate a tighter race than other recent surveys, but Nate Silver notes, “surveys from Gravis Marketing have been very strongly Republican-leaning this cycle — by about four percentage points relative to the consensus.” Today’s other New Hampshire poll — from New England College — has Obama up by five points.

The results are based on an automated survey of 497 likely voters on November 1, 2012. The survey has a +/-4.3% margin of error.

SBA List targets NH with graphic anti-abortion calls

Susan B. Anthony List, the hardline anti-abortion advocacy group, is blanketing New Hampshire residents with a graphic phone message attacking President Obama for his pro-choice policies.

I’m Jill Stanek, a Chicago nurse. I was outraged when I discovered that babies who were born alive because of botched abortions were being left to die. I worked to protect these babies with the Infant Born Alive Act in the Illinois legislature, but state Sen. Barack Obama fought against the bill and voted against it four times. Barack Obama is the most extreme pro-abortion president we’ve ever had. That’s why this Chicagoan is voting for life and against Barack Obama. I hope you will too. This message was paid for by the Susan B. Anthony List. Not authorized by any candidate or candidate’s committees. sba-list.org.

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